THE HITLIST
THE UNICORN HERD · $1B – $9.9B
HANOVER, UNITED STATESFOUNDED 2016

Dragos

$1.7Bpaper valuation

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// OVERVIEW

Dragos is the only industrial cybersecurity company that convinced critical infrastructure operators to pay enterprise software prices for threat intelligence about attacks that have not happened yet. Founded by former NSA analysts who understood that protecting power grids and water treatment facilities requires fundamentally different tools than protecting corporate email, the company built a $1.7 billion business by making electric utilities and manufacturing plants paranoid about Iranian hackers shutting down their SCADA systems.

// HQ

Hanover, United States

// STATUS

PRIVATE

// FOUNDED

2016

// TIER

The Unicorn Herd · $1B – $9.9B

// PRIMARY SECTOR

cybersecurity

// FOUNDERS

Robert M. LeeJustin CavineeChris Sistrunk

// FUNDING ROUNDS

// SECTORS SERVED

// TECHNOLOGY

Dragos deploys OT-specific threat detection that monitors industrial control systems without disrupting operations — air-gapped sensors that watch Modbus and DNP3 protocols for anomalies that indicate reconnaissance or sabotage. The platform integrates with existing ICS environments through passive network monitoring and maintains threat intelligence feeds focused exclusively on nation-state actors targeting operational technology. Unlike traditional IT security tools that assume you can reboot compromised systems, Dragos assumes downtime means people die or cities lose power.

// WOWLS ASSESSMENT

// THREAT LEVELARMED
real revenue, real product, fighting better-resourced rivals

The company raised $200 million Series D at $1.7 billion in June 2022 — a 20x revenue multiple on approximately $85 million ARR selling to a customer base that cannot afford NOT to buy but also cannot afford to buy much. Every ransomware attack on Colonial Pipeline or water treatment facilities validates the product thesis, but the addressable market is measured in thousands of critical infrastructure sites not millions of endpoints. Palo Alto Networks acquired Cider Security for OT capabilities in 2024 and is packaging industrial security into broader enterprise bundles at aggressive pricing. Dragos owns the pure-play ICS security category but faces the innovator's dilemma in reverse — stay focused on a narrow high-value market or expand into IT/OT convergence and compete with platforms that have 10x the resources. The valuation requires believing industrial cybersecurity becomes a $10+ billion standalone category, which is plausible until you consider that every major security vendor is now adding OT monitoring as a checkbox feature.

// WHY WOWLS HUNTS THIS

Platform consolidation is coming for every point solution security vendor, and Dragos is selling a $1.7 billion thesis that electric utilities will continue paying standalone subscriptions for OT threat intelligence instead of accepting whatever Palo Alto and CrowdStrike bundle into their existing contracts. Critical infrastructure budgets are large but not infinite, and the shift from best-of-breed to platform purchasing has already eliminated half the endpoint security vendors that were unicorns in 2019.

// VALUATION NOTE

Revenue estimate of $85M ARR derived from typical Series D multiples in cybersecurity and publicly disclosed customer counts — actual figure not confirmed in public filings.

VERDICT: ARMED — Dragos owns industrial cybersecurity the way Tanium owned endpoint management before Microsoft built the same thing into Windows Defender and made the standalone category economically difficult

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// INTEL UPDATED: MAY 2026

// INTELLIGENCE DISCLAIMER: Assessments represent editorial opinion based on publicly available data including filings, press reports, and market data as of the date shown. Valuations are approximate. Not financial or investment advice.

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